Long-Term GDP by EU and US Region, Third Quarter 2019

Mar 16, 2020
Long-Term Gross Domestic Product in EU and US Regions

The chart above shows the annualized nominal gross domestic product (GDP) in each EU and US region as of the third quarter of 2019 in millions of US dollars, the change from five years ago, and the GDP ten years prior.  The Western US grew by more over the past five years than the entire GDP of the Northern EU.  Additionally, all four US regions each had an improvement in their GDP over the past ten years that is larger than the entire GDP of the Northern EU and the Southern and Western US also grew by more in the period than the entire GDP of the Eastern EU.

Findings

  • The difference between the region with the largest GDP, the Western EU, and the region with the smallest, the Northern EU, is $10,455,208.99 million (down from $10,830,111.07 million five years ago and up from $9,867,475.90 million ten years ago).  The Western and Northern EU had the largest and smallest GDP respectively both five and ten years ago.
  • The Western EU has 10.14 times the GDP that the Northern EU does.  The ratio of largest GDP to smallest GDP went up from 10.01 five years ago and down from 10.42 ten years ago.
  • Five regions (one EU, four US) saw their GDP rise in current dollars over the past five years while three (all from the EU) saw it drop.
  • Seven regions (three EU, four US) saw their GDP rise in current dollars over the past ten years while one (from the EU) saw it drop.
  • All EU drops in GDP are attributed to currency rate fluctuations.

Caveats

  • Data is from the third quarters of 2019, 2014, and 2009.
  • The data is seasonally adjusted in current dollars.
  • Euros are converted to dollars at an average exchange rate of 1.11 for the third quarter of 2019, 1.32 for the third quarter of 2014, and 1.43 for the third quarter of 2009 according to historic rates listed at the Federal Reserve (see source link below).
  • US data comes in an annualized format which the EU does not, thus EU data is annualized by multiplying the quarterly figure by four.
  • US growth rates may differ from those provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as the BEA's growth rates are based on chained dollars in conjunction with the chain index or the quality index for real GDP.  The growth rates listed here are based on nominal GDP.
  • All figures are rounded to the nearest hundredth.
  • The Eastern EU consists of Poland, Czech Republic, Romania, Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Slovenia, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia.
  • The Midwestern US consists of Illinois, Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota.
  • The Northeastern US consists of New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Maryland, Connecticut, New Hampshire, Delaware, Maine, Rhode Island, and Vermont.
  • The Northern EU consists of Sweden, Denmark, and Finland.
  • The Southern EU consists of Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece, Cyprus, and Malta.
  • The Southern US consists of Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia, Tennessee, Louisiana, South Carolina, Alabama, Kentucky, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi, and West Virginia.
  • The Western EU consists of Germany, United Kingdom, France, Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, and Luxembourg.
  • The Western US consists of California, Washington, Colorado, Arizona, Oregon, Utah, Nevada, New Mexico, Hawaii, Idaho, Alaska, Montana, and Wyoming.

Details

In absolute terms, the Western EU saw the largest decrease over the past five years with a drop of $432,377.90 million.  The Western US had the largest growth with a gain of $1,252,399.60 million.  Over the past ten years, the Southern EU had the largest decrease with a drop of $548,713.14 million while the Southern US had the greatest increase with a gain of $2,208,787.70 million.

In relative terms, the Northern EU had the largest decrease over the past five years with a 4.78% drop in GDP while the Western US had the greatest increase with a 28.99% rise in GDP.  Over the past ten years, the Southern EU had the largest decrease with a 12.46% drop in GDP while the Western US had the largest growth with a 61.12% rise in GDP.

There was one region with a GDP of over $5,000,000 million ten years ago, two regions five years ago, and three regions now.  On the flip side, there were three regions with a GDP of less than $3,000,000 million ten years ago, two regions five years ago, and two regions now.

The Midwestern US overtook the Southern EU over the past five years.  Over the past ten years the Southern EU was surpassed by the Western, Northeastern, and Midwestern US.

Sources

Eurostat.  2020.  "GDP and Main Components."  Accessed March 10, 2020.  https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-406779_QID_-12E83AF1_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;UNIT,L,Z,0;S_ADJ,L,Z,1;NA_ITEM,L,Z,2;INDICATORS,C,Z,3;&zSelection=DS-406779UNIT,CP_MEUR;DS-406779INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-406779S_ADJ,SCA;DS-406779NA_ITEM,B1GQ;&rankName1=UNIT_1_2_-1_2&rankName2=INDICATORS_1_2_-1_2&rankName3=NA-ITEM_1_2_-1_2&rankName4=S-ADJ_1_2_-1_2&rankName5=TIME_1_0_0_0&rankName6=GEO_1_2_0_1&sortC=ASC_-1_FIRST&rStp=&cStp=&rDCh=&cDCh=&rDM=true&cDM=true&footnes=false&empty=false&wai=false&time_mode=NONE&time_most_recent=false&lang=EN&cfo=%23%23%23%2C%23%23%23.%23%23%23.

Federal Reserve.  2020.  "Foreign Exchange Rates."  Accessed March 11, 2020.  https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g5/.

US Bureau of Economic Analysis.  2020.  "GDP by State."  Accessed March 9, 2020.  https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state.