GDP and GDP Per Capita Growth between 2005 and 2016 in the European Union and the United States

Oct 27, 2017
Scatter plot of GDP and per capita GDP in the EU and the US

The chart above shows both the change in overall GDP (y-axis) and per capita GDP (x-axis) over a period of 11 years for EU and US states.  All states except for one have experienced growth from 2005 to 2016.  However, several states saw their per capita GDP decrease.

Findings

  • Greece is the only state whose overall GDP and GDP per capita have fallen from 2005.
  • Fourteen states saw a drop in their per capita GDP: Nevada, Greece, Arizona, Florida, Louisiana, Georgia, Delaware, Connecticut, North Carolina, Idaho, Virginia, Alabama, South Carolina, and Maine.  Thirteen are from the US while only one is from the EU.
  • Four states doubled their GDP, three from the EU and one from the US.  North Dakota is primarily due to the oil boom, whereas Bulgaria, Romania, and Slovakia's increase is probably due to their accession into the EU.
  • Five states doubled their per capita GDP and they all hail from the EU.  Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, and Slovakia are all relatively recent additions to the Union.

Caveats

  • The US data is in dollars and the EU data is in euros.  The dollar averaged €0.80 in 2005 and €0.77 in 2016.
  • Last year was selected because it was the last year records were available for, and 2005 was selected because that is how far back the data in Eurostat goes.

Details

The range of per capita GDP in the EU is €83,900 while the range in the US is only $33,664.  That amounts to less than half!  The corresponding ranges for 2005 were €61,400 in the EU and $36,712 in the US.  US states have narrowed their difference while EU states have become less equal.

However, the range in overall GDP has widened in both superstates.  The EU range went from €2.295 trillion to €3.134 trillion while the US range went from $1.743 trillion to $2.571 trillion.  US states are still more equal to each other than EU states are.

It's interesting to note that all US states form one cluster, while the EU has four notable clusters: Germany, France, Italy, UK and Spain; eastern and the rest of southern Europe; Luxembourg; and every other state.

The larger economies in the EU do not have the larger per capita GDPs whereas the larger economies in the US tend to be amongst the states with the highest per capita GDPs.

California has overtaken France and the United Kingdom to become the second largest economy amongst the EU and US states.  Texas has overtaken New York to become the sixth largest, Pennsylvania surpassed the Netherlands to the 11th spot, Georgia has overtaken Michigan to 15, as has North Carolina which registers at 16, as well Massachusetts and Virginia which are now 17th and 18th largest respectively.  Washington overtook Sweden to 20th largest.  Below there, numerous countries overtook each other.  The most notable difference is Greece which dropped from 36th largest economy in the EU and US to 46th.

Luxembourg however, overcame both Delaware and Connecticut to have the largest per capita GDP.  Massachusetts surpassed them as well to have the second highest per capita GDP.  New York did the same to come in at three and Alaska surpassed Delaware to rank 5th in per capita GDP.  Notable moves in per capita GDP include North Dakota rising from a rank of 40 to 7, Ireland from 42 to 9, Nevada from 9 to 39, Virginia from 11 to 20, Georgia from 19 to 33, Louisiana from 21 to 38, Denmark from 43 to 25, and Sweden from 52 to 31.

Data

StateGDP Per Capita 2005GDP Per Capita 2016GDP 2005 (in millions)GDP 2016 (in millions)Percent Change in GDP Per CapitaPercent Change in GDP
North Dakota41,27262,83724,62252,08952.25111.55
Romania3,8008,60080,225.6169,578.1126.32111.38
Slovakia7,30014,90039,348.381,154104.11106.25
Bulgaria3,1006,80023,852.748,128.6119.35101.77
Malta12,70022,7005,142.19,943.178.7493.37
Estonia8,30016,00011,262.321,098.392.7787.34
Lithuania6,30013,50021,002.438,668.3114.2984.11
Latvia6,10012,70013,726.224,926.7108.281.6
Luxembourg64,50090,70030,03153,004.840.6276.5
Poland6,50011,100246,201.3425,980.270.7773.02
Utah41,65744,63694,475156,3527.1565.5
Texas45,96653,795990,0541,616,80117.0363.3
Ireland40,90058,800170,188.4275,567.143.7761.92
Czech Republic10,70016,700109,627.7176,564.356.0761.06
Washington51,95656,831296,403469,7399.3858.48
Nebraska46,06253,11473,455115,34515.3157.03
Oregon42,55850,582147,535226,82118.8553.74
South Dakota42,76248,07631,38048,13912.4353.41
Montana36,12039,35630,63745,9948.9650.13
Sweden34,70046,900313,218465,200.635.1648.52
California53,32058,6191,766,6932,602,6729.9447.32
Massachusetts58,77665,545345,059507,91311.5247.2
Colorado51,47352,795220,454323,6922.5746.83
Kansas41,73646,982104,884153,25812.5746.12
Oklahoma37,66244,623125,243182,93718.4846.07
South Carolina37,39737,063143,585209,716-0.8946.06
New York58,50264,5791,023,4331,487,99810.3945.39
North Carolina45,04244,325357,168517,904-1.5945
Iowa45,55450,315123,353178,76610.4544.92
Tennessee41,86843,267227,505328,7703.3444.51
Maryland51,96055,404263,809378,2806.6343.39
Hawaii50,14551,27758,57383,9172.2643.27
Pennsylvania45,03550,997506,505724,93613.2443.13
Idaho35,89535,46647,17667,275-1.242.6
Indiana42,82645,317245,197341,9095.8239.44
Austria30,90040,400254,075353,296.930.7439.05
Slovenia14,60019,60029,235.440,418.134.2538.25
Wyoming57,64258,82127,45437,8582.0537.9
Virginia52,30551,736359,273494,349-1.0937.6
Minnesota52,24653,704243,933335,1472.7937.39
West Virginia33,62836,31553,45373,3747.9937.27
Kentucky38,20538,985143,875197,0432.0436.95
Wisconsin45,13147,266226,325309,5364.7336.77
Germany28,30038,1002,300,8603,144,05034.6336.65
New Hampshire48,35751,79457,28277,8557.1135.92
Belgium29,70037,500311,480.8423,048.426.2635.82
Georgia47,61044,723388,342525,360-6.0635.28
Illinois51,23754,091586,442791,6085.5734.98
Missouri42,80643,317224,091300,8911.1934.27
Ohio44,68447,567467,392625,7156.4533.87
Arkansas35,64936,36890,319120,6892.0233.63
Arizona43,01838,590227,358302,952-10.2933.25
Florida43,32639,543700,267926,817-8.7332.35
Delaware67,52563,66453,24770,387-5.7232.19
Vermont41,58843,94623,53931,0925.6732.09
Mississippi30,81331,88181,678107,6803.4731.83
Finland31,30039,200164,387215,61525.2431.16
New Jersey56,76857,084443,148581,1220.5631.13
Alabama37,57837,261156,750204,861-0.8430.69
Denmark39,30048,400212,832.3277,339.423.1630.31
Netherlands33,40041,300545,609702,64123.6528.78
Maine38,96138,92146,27759,275-0.128.09
Croatia8,50011,10036,508.446,284.930.5926.78
Alaska61,12563,97140,06350,7134.6626.58
France28,10033,3001,771,9782,228,85718.5125.78
Rhode Island47,17647,63945,66357,4330.9825.78
New Mexico41,19341,34874,40393,2970.3825.39
Connecticut66,03264,511210,170263,379-2.325.32
Hungary9,00011,60090,948.9113,730.828.8925.05
Nevada54,79043,820118,785147,475-20.0224.15
Michigan42,91943,372395,166487,2391.0623.3
Cyprus20,40021,30015,039.318,122.54.4120.5
Spain21,30024,100930,5661,118,52213.1520.2
United Kingdom33,60036,5002,027,472.92,393,133.58.6318.04
Louisiana47,00443,917199,683235,109-6.5717.74
Portugal15,10017,900158,652.6185,179.518.5416.72
Italy25,60027,7001,489,725.51,680,522.88.212.81
Greece18,10016,200199,242.3174,199.3-10.5-12.57

Sources

US Bureau of Economic Analysis.  2017.  "Regional Data."  Accessed October 26, 2017.  https://bea.gov/itable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=70&step=1#reqid=70&step=1&isuri=1.

Eurostat.  2017.  "Gross Domestic Product at Market Prices.  Accessed October 26, 2017.  http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/tgm/refreshTableAction.do?tab=table&plugin=1&pcode=tec00001&language=en.